Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 34

Severe Weather in United States

IndependenceUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 1 June 2026 at 00:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 17 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 13 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 31 at 6:52PM CDT until May 31 at 7:15PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR

An estimated 24,196 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)34 / 100
Our confidence78%
Coordinates35.5515, -91.6620
Nearest CitySearcy (34 km)
Population Exposed24.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-31T23:52:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1bc245fdc8d797d39e68ba05d2d2fa30

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescRandolph, AR; Sharp, AR; Lonoke, AR; Pulaski, AR
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 31 at 6:52PM CDT until May 31 at 7:15PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR
Expires2026-05-31T19:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Little Rock AR
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1bc245fdc8d797d39e68ba05d2d2fa303a7ceff0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.804fed45cc6e92e589b7581ffbb4968bd720f92f.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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